Projected Population of Scotland (2002-based)

18 December 2003

The Government Actuary's Department (GAD), in consultation with, and at the request of, the Registrars General, prepares population projections for the United Kingdom and its constituent countries. This note presents the main results of the latest, (2002-based) projection for Scotland, which takes full account of the 2001 Census results, and outlines the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used in its preparation. Although longer term projections are produced we have concentrated on the first 25 years, as projections are increasingly uncertain the further forward they go.