d/28 H      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~d 1$&%&F &A|@*'HOUSEHOLD ESTIMATES                D'Mid-Year Household Estimates by Local Authority: 1991 to 2002             ^Census ^Mid-Year       ^1991 ^1992 ^1993 ^1994 ^1995 ^1996 ^1997 ^1998 ^1999 ^2000         'SCOTLAND O?A p?A ?A  @A *@A DL@A l@A @A @A  @A @A Z@A @A                         'Aberdeen City @ @ @ @+@ @v@ @ @ D@ c@ `@  @ @@  @   'Aberdeenshire @ @ @ \@ @ @@ C@ u@ @ @ K@ @'@ 6@ @    'Angus |@ @ @ @ D@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @@   'Argyll & Bute C@ @ @ 6@ \@ h@ h@ @ @ @ @@  @ @                      'Clackmannanshire  I  J  dK  L  M  N  N  LO  O  P  PP  xP  Q     'Dumfries & Galloway  &@  L@  @  @  @  k@  @  @ @ @ @(@ 9@ @x@     'Dundee City  t@  h@  @n@  @  @  z@  h@  O@ O@ @Z@ U@ \@ U@     'East Ayrshire  @  @  +@  D@  ]@  v@  @  @ @ @ @ @ @@                         'East Dunbartonshire =@ V@ o@ @ @ *@ C@ P@ u@ @ @@ @@ @   'East Lothian @ @ 0@ U@ @ @ @ *@ O@ @@ @ @ @   'East Renfrewshire | } d} ,~ X )@ [@ @ @ @@ @ @ @ 0@   'Edinburgh, City of JA ``A A A  A 1A @WA @A `" A P A @A  A @G A                         'Eilean Siar * \+ + $, , P- P- -  P-  -  ,  ,  8,   'Falkirk @ @ R@ w@ @ @ X@ @ @ 2@ @ @ @ @    'Fife A A BA @A A A A  A @0A fA WA bA A   'Glasgow City A 0A pA @A A pA A A A  A A A A                         'Highland @ @ @ \@ @ @ @7@ u@ @@ @ @ @ @   'Inverclyde @ @ @ @ @ @ @ h@ u@ h@ @@ @ J@   'Midlothian ht t \v $w w Px y z  8|  d} @ @@ ,@    'Moray @ )@ O@ @ @  @ <@ U@ {@ @@ {@ @@ @                         'North Ayrshire @ @ d@ @ @ ,@ ^@ @ @ @@ @@ @ @   'North Lanarkshire @@ 9@ q@ @ @ @_@ @ @ @#A  fA `0A 0.A XA    'Orkney  x    @  @            0    !    !'Perth & Kinross !K@ !@ !@ !,@ !@ !@ !2@ !}@ !@ !@ !z@ !@ !@ ! ! ! " " " " " " " " "  "  "  "  "  " " " "#'Renfrewshire #@h@ #@ #@ #@@ #@@ #U@ #@ #@ #@@ #@ #f@ # i@ # x@ # # #$'Scottish Borders, The $J@ $|@ $@ $@ $@ $@ $+@ $P@ $@ $@ $@!@ $@+@ $@ $ $ $%'Shetland % %4! %! %! %`" %" %" %(#  %(#  %@$  %#  %#  %"$ % % %&'South Ayrshire &7@ &]@ &@ &@ &@ &>@ &c@ &@ &@ &@ &@ &@@ &@ & & & ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '  '  '  '  '  ' ' ' '('South Lanarkshire (@ (@ (&@ (X@ (@@ (@ ( @ (R@ (@@ (@ (@@ (@ (9@ ( ( ()'Stirling )y ) { )8| ),~ )~ ))@ )O@ )@ )@ )@@ )V@ )`@ )@ ) ) )*'West Dunbartonshire *@ *@ *0@ *b@ *@ *@ *P@ *i@ *P@ *l@ *@ *@ *@ * * *+'West Lothian +&@ +@ +@ +k@ +@ +q@ +@ +x@ +@ +@ +@ +@ +`&@ + + + , , , , , , , , ,  ,  ,  ,  ,  , , , , - - - - - - - -  -  -  -  -  - - - - . . . . . . . . .  .  .  .  .  . . . .K4'Basic instruction on how mid-year household estimates are calculated 4 56^A 6'Start(6'Estimated dwellings @ Census 2001 6 78^B8^+8'Newbuilding activity 8'2001 Q2,Q3&Q4, 2002 Q1&Q2 89^C9^+9'Conversions  9'2001 Q2,Q3&Q4, 2002 Q1&Q2 9:^D:^-:'Demolitions :'2001 Q2,Q3&Q4, 2002 Q1&Q2 : ;<^E<"=%<'Estimated dwellings @ mid-2002 < =>^F>^-#>'Local Authority vacant stock>'@ 31/3/2002 from Stock 2 >?^G?^-'?'Non-Local Authority vacant stock?'First, estimate the non-Local Authority total stock which is E (estimated total stock) less the estimated Local Authority stock at 31/3/2000 from Stock 1. The percentage of non-Local Authority stock which was vacant at the 2001 Census is th ?@^H@^- @'Other non-effective stock@'The percentage of total stock at the 2001 Census which was 'ineffective' is applied to 'E', the estimated stock at mid-20002 @A^IA^+A'Sharing allowanceA'This was calculated using the 2001 Census and replaces the values - based on the 1991 Census - used in estimates up to 2000. We have investigated the big drop in the figures and have concluded that the revised figure is consistent with the AB' BC^JC"=%C'Household estimates @ mid-2002 C D D D D D E E E E E F F F F F G'Notes G G G GH'1. Census data provides dwelling counts at April 2001. To create 2002 estimates at mid year, an extra quarter of returns must be used (2001 Q2) H H H HaI'2. New housebuilding completions figures are taken from the NB1, NB2 returns from LAs and I I I I[J' and from figures provided by Scottish Homes on Housing Association new building. J J J JUK'3. Conversions figures are calculated from CON1 and Stock 4 returns from LA's. K K K KML'4. Demolitions figures are taken from S2 and Stock 5 returns from LAs. L L L LcM'5. Local Authority vacant stock figures are taken from the S1A and Stock 2 returns from LAs. M M M MjN'6. Non-Local Authority vacant stock is estimated as a percentage of all non-Local Authority stock. N N N NO' Non-Local Authority stock is taken to be total dwellings less Local Authority stock estimates provided by LAs on the S1A O O O OP' and Stock 1 returns. P P P PWQ' The percentage applied is fixed and is that calculated from the 2001 Census. Q Q Q QTR'7. Other non-effective stock is taken to be a percentage of total dwellings. R R R RWS' The percentage applied is fixed and is that calculated from the 2001 Census. S S S SYT' Examples of other non-effective stock includes second homes and holiday homes. T T T TKU'8. Households sharing a dwelling is calculated from the 2001 Census. U U U U V V V V V W W W W WX'Conversions X X X XY'The conversions figure shown is the net increase in the number of stock due to conversions. The figure is calculated from information Y Y Y YZ'given on the CON1 and Stock 4 returns and is taken to be the total number of dwellings at the end of the project minus the number at Z Z Z Z['the start. No net increase (or decrease) is counted until the project is completed, which is assumed to be when the number of dwellings [ [ [ [d\'at the end of the project is equal to the number of final completions expected at the start. \ \ \ \ ] ] ] ] ] ^ ^ ^ ^ ^2_'Changes to estimated dwelling stock figures _ _ _ _`'Please note that, for previous years estimates, the calculation A-E does not hold for all Local Authorities, and this in turn means it does ` ` ` `a'not hold in the summary Scotland calculations. The reason for this is that the estimated dwellings figures for some Local Authorities a a a arb'were changed following the advice of the Local Authorities themselves during consultation in 1998 and 1999. b b b b c c c c c d d d d d